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Writing

I write when something in the work takes a shape worth keeping. The recent posts cover the AI-native operating practice. The 2007 to 2009 posts are field reports from building rVibe, kept for the record.

2026

  • Using AI to Predict Clinical Trial Patient Populations in the Future September 10, 2026

    The field's tools forecast whether a trial will enroll. Almost nobody asks whether the population is real. A multi-panel adversarial run killed our lead population assumption in a day.

  • Herding Kittens with Jet Packs July 16, 2026

    Everyone's got a jet pack now and productivity still hasn't moved. This is about the fast, fragile little machines people are building with them, none of it composed, nobody steering, and what to do next.

  • The new constraint June 1, 2026

    I thought the constraint had flipped — from internal bandwidth to external pace. It's more complicated than that.

  • Smart Models, Dumb Pipes March 24, 2026

    Most people are using LLMs as question-answering machines. That's not wrong, it's just not the interesting part.

  • You don't want another chatbot March 9, 2026

    What most people call AI is often just a chat interface sitting on top of a much bigger capability problem.

  • From AI Studio to AI Forge March 6, 2026

    Why the AI studio metaphor stopped being enough for me, and how I'm starting to think in terms of AI Forge, Speedrift, and a bounded dark factory.

2025

2024

2023

2021

2020

Archive (2007-2009)

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